Supply of and Demand for Electricity for PJM InterconnectCurrent Energy
Supply of and Demand for Electricity for PJM Interconnect

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The power grid that supplies the electric current coming into your home or business is designed to maintain a dynamic balance between the consumer demand for electricity and the amount being supplied by generators. The chart above is an approximate representation of this dynamic balance. Quantities which are forecasts or estimates are shown by dashed lines. You may need to click your browser's reload button to update the graph.

The current demand (or "load") depends on how much power consumers are using right now. While the load changes every time someone switches a light on or off, the sum of loads due to a large number of consumers varies slowly. In addition to the supply needed to meet this demand, some "reserve" generating capacity must be kept ready to operate in case of any unexpected events.

The PJM operational data is updated at least every five minutes by the PJM Interconnect for the area it controls. This area covers Central and Eastern Pennsylvania, virtually all of New Jersey, Delaware, Western Maryland, and Washington DC. A new control area called PJM West is now also covered by PJM Internconnect and covers the Northern 2/3 of West Virginia, portions of Western and Central Pennsylvania, Western Maryland, and small areas of Southeastern Ohio.

It is a little more difficult to quantify the amount of supply that may be available, which we call "Potential Capacity". Our approximation is based on: the total capacity of generators available to serve PJM loads, minus the generators that are out of service (generation outages). Outages are updated daily. Since many of the generators available to serve PJM load are outside of the control area, transmission provides another constraint on supply. The electricity flows on major transmission lines in and out of the PJM area are called intertie flows. These flows are constrained by the transmission line capacity. Both intertie flows and total intertie capacity are displayed and updated every five minutes.

The power grid that supplies the electric current coming into your home or business is designed to maintain a dynamic balance between the consumer demand for electricity and the amount being supplied by generators. The chart above is an approximate representation of this dynamic balance. Quantities which are forecasts or estimates are shown by dashed lines. You may need to click your browser's reload button to update the graph.

The current demand (or "load") depends on how much power consumers are using right now. While the load changes every time someone switches a light on or off, the sum of loads due to a large number of consumers varies slowly. In addition to the supply needed to meet this demand, some "reserve" generating capacity must be kept ready to operate in case of any unexpected events.


Maximum Capacity This number is an estimate of the total generation capacity serving the PJM control area as indicated in PJM planning documents. The fact that a generator can serve PJM load, and so is included in this figure, does not mean that it will be operating or selling electricity into the PJM on any given day. In this plot, maximum capacity has been offset by 300MW for visibility. This is about one line width.
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On-Line Capacity On-Line Capacity is equal to the Maximum Capacity minus Generation Outages. It represents the total generation capacity in the PJM control area that can feasibly operate that day. See Generation Outages for more detail.
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Potential Capacity The generation capacity potentially available to supply electricity is computed here as the sum of On-Line Capacity + Net Imports/Exports - Reserves . We use a reserve margin equal to 7% of the load. The generation capacity actually available in any given hour will differ from our estimate of the potential capacity for a variety of reasons. Hydroelectric capacity may be reduced due to water shortages. Some plants are only available a certain number of hours per month, or may have restrictions on their operation due to air quality concerns. There may also be resources available to the ISO in the form of voluntary load reductions ("negawatts"), which are not included here.
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Current Load "Load" is the technical term for total demand for electricity. It is the amount of electricity that customers are pulling out of the grid at any given moment. This amount is monitored in real time by PJM Interconnect, and published every 5 minutes.
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Forecast Load While the load changes every time someone turns on a computer or switches off a light, on the average it can be predicted, given information about the weather, the daily habits of individuals and businesses, etc. Currently the forecast is unavailable, but will be made available shortly.
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Outages Every morning the PJM publishes a forecast for the quantity of generation that will be offline each day for the next six months. The outage figures are updated at 4AM Eastern time. We use the previous day's figures until 4AM Eastern time as an estimate.
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Transmission Capacity Published PJM Operational Data contains transfer limits for each of five transfer interfaces. The transfer limits are summed to produce the transmission capacity data. Additionally, it should be noted that PJM posts Conditions Impacting Transmission Capability.
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Transmission Also published in PJM Operational Data are actual flow for each of the five transfer interfaces. The actual flows are summed to produce the transmission data.
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Disclaimer:

Development and maintenance of the Current Energy website ended in January, 2005. Linkages to data obtained from other websites will degrade over time, and parameters on which the computations depend will become out-of-date.

This chart is presented for educational purposes only. We have used publicly available information, and cannot assume reponsibility forthe accuracy of this information. Links to the original data sourcescan be found at this page.

These pages were prepared by Emily Bartholomew, Chris Bolduc, Katie Coughlin, Brian Hill, Alan Meier and Robert Van Buskirk,
Environmental Energy Technologies Division
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab